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A field guide to the security vocabulary of Brazil's 2026 election
Fernando Brancoli
August 2026
Interactive companion to the paper of the same title, part of a series on the US vectors into Brazil's October vote
This glossary follows the security vocabulary that the United States has projected into Brazil's 2026 presidential election — narcoterrorism, Foreign Terrorist Organization, cartel, hemispheric threat — and tests, term by term, whether each one actually travelled from Washington or arrived by some other route entirely.
To replace a slogan with a method. The claim that the United States exported its security vocabulary to Latin America is repeated constantly and examined rarely; what follows is an attempt to examine it, taking seven terms and tracing each one to its origin, its institutionalization, its point of entry into Brazilian debate, and its use in the current campaign.The findings are mixed, and deliberately so. Only two of the seven are US inventions. Two were coined elsewhere in the Americas. One is Brazilian from beginning to end.
Classification is jurisdiction. To call a Brazilian faction a terrorist organization is to move the problem out of policing and into national security, out of Brazilian courts and onto US sanctions lists, and out of the category of a neighbourhood owed public services and into the category of ground to be retaken.This is securitization observable in real time, on a calendar, with a vote at the end of it: the case study rather than the theory.
It is not a judgement on whether the PCC and the CV ought to have been designated, and it is not the argument that Brazil is a passive recipient of policy made elsewhere. Where the evidence supports only convergence or emulation, the entries say so; where a causal claim cannot be sustained, it is marked as unsustained.One safeguard runs throughout: the circulation of language is not proof of control.
How to use it. Each of the seven entries stands alone; open the one you need, or search across all of them. The genealogy spectrum places every term on an axis running from US invention to Brazilian origin; the mode filters group them by how they travelled; the comparative table collapses all seven into a single view for citation or teaching; and every entry carries a permalink and a formatted citation. The timelinesets US and Brazilian legal developments against each other and can be filtered by origin. There is also a short teaching exercise at the foot of the page, for use in seminars. Sources appear under each entry, and contested or unverified points are marked where they occur.
Designating The Election: How A US Terror Label Entered Brazil’s October Race
To replace a slogan with a method. The claim that the United States exported its security vocabulary to Latin America is repeated constantly and examined rarely; what follows is an attempt to examine it, taking seven terms and tracing each one to its origin, its institutionalization, its point of entry into Brazilian debate, and its use in the current campaign.The findings are mixed, and deliberately so. Only two of the seven are US inventions. Two were coined elsewhere in the Americas. One is Brazilian from beginning to end.
Read The EssayAnnounced in a letter tying the tariff to the "witch hunt" trial of Jair Bolsonaro. Brazil invoked its Economic Reciprocity Act. Largely rolled back by December.
For alleged "abusive judicial overreach" in the case against the former president. The listing was lifted in December 2025.
Effective 5 June, and announced hours after Flávio Bolsonaro was received at the White House. Not reversible in the way a tariff is.
Over an agrément impasse rather than security policy. Restorable on Brazilian approval of the US nominee.
These are not four unrelated incidents; they are a repertoire — trade, sanctions, designations, visas — and its most durable instrument is also its least visible. Tariffs get rolled back, and the Magnitsky listing on Justice Moraes was lifted in December 2025. Words are not rolled back. A vocabulary, once installed in a country's political language, goes on working long after the diplomatic quarrel that delivered it has been settled, and it shapes what a future government of any political colour can plausibly propose.To readers familiar with debates in critical security studies, a glossary may sound like a modest contribution alongside the questions of force and sovereignty raised by the designation itself; it is not. Brazil in 2026 offers an unusually clean case of a process that is normally reconstructed only in retrospect. A legal category built in the United States in 1996 for ideologically motivated groups is applied, thirty years later, to two profit-driven Brazilian criminal organizations, four months before a presidential election, at the documented request of one of the candidates. There is no need to speculate about how security concepts travel between the hemisphere's north and south. The travel is happening in public, on a calendar, with a deadline of 4 October.Those who have argued that the circulation of security models is never merely technical will recognise the pattern. What gets exported, as Manuela Trindade Viana's work on the transnational movement of security models insists, is rarely public safety in the abstract; it is a particular grammar — pacification units, exceptional courts, militarized intelligence, anti-mafia statutes — that arrives carrying its own assumptions about who counts as a citizen and what counts as a threat. The FTO designation belongs in that lineage. It is not just a list; it is a grammar of governance.But the obvious reading of that lineage is also the wrong one, and this glossary is built to resist it. "The United States exported its vocabulary to Brazil" is too simple in both directions. Two of the central terms were not invented in the United States at all, one is entirely Brazilian, and in March 2026, while the designation fight was still running, the Brazilian Congress wrote its own severe answer into law and twice refused to equate faction violence with terrorism. The interesting question is therefore not whether the words moved, but how each one moved — and what each mode of movement licenses.
Brazilians vote on 4 October, with a runoff on 25 October if no candidate clears fifty percent. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, eligible for a fourth term, was confirmed at the Workers' Party convention on 2 August with Geraldo Alckmin again as running mate. He faces Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, who received his imprisoned father's endorsement on 6 December 2025 and was confirmed as the Liberal Party's candidate. Registration closed on 15 August.The race is close and closing. Public security is both the terrain on which the challenger is strongest and the issue on which the incumbent is most exposed — and it is the only major question in the campaign on which a foreign government has intervened by way of a formal legal act.That combination is what makes the vocabulary consequential rather than merely interesting. Words that decide which institution owns a problem also decide which candidate owns it.
Two organizations sit at the centre of this vocabulary, and neither resembles the Mexican or Colombian groups around which the US framework was built. That difference is the whole argument. Both were born in prison rather than in the countryside or along trafficking routes, a genealogy with no equivalent elsewhere in the hemisphere, and one that any imported category will necessarily flatten.
Founded on 31 August 1993 in the Taubaté prison, in the state of São Paulo, by eight inmates, in the aftermath of the Carandiru massacre of October 1992, in which military police killed 111 prisoners during a riot. It began as a prisoners' mutual-protection brotherhood demanding accountability for those killings.It is now the largest criminal organization in the country: governed by a written statute, funded by membership dues, disciplined through internal tribunals, and organized as a decentralized franchise rather than a chain of command. It is the more commercial of the two — authorities link it to an estimated R$52 billion in assets across fuel distribution, logistics, agribusiness and real estate — and it has expanded along cocaine routes through Paraguay and Bolivia.
Base: São Paulo and the prison system · Designated SDGT and FTO in May–June 2026 · Already sanctioned by the US Treasury in December 2021 under the illicit-drug authority
Founded in 1979 at the Cândido Mendes penal institute on Ilha Grande, in Rio de Janeiro, out of the forced cohabitation of ordinary convicts with left-wing guerrillas imprisoned together under the 1964–85 military dictatorship — an arrangement produced by a decree of 1969. It was originally the Falange Vermelha. When the political prisoners left, the common criminals kept the organizational discipline and turned it to their own ends.It is a group of territory rather than of business: it controls favela neighbourhoods, arbitrates local disputes, taxes services, and defends ground against rivals and against the police. More violent than the PCC, less corporate, and considerably less transnational.
Base: Rio de Janeiro, with expansion into the North and Northeast · Designated SDGT and FTO in May–June 2026 · Fourteen years older than the PCC
Paramilitary groups composed largely of serving and former police officers, firefighters and prison guards. They seize neighbourhoods, expel or coexist with the drug factions, and monopolize local services — cooking gas, internet, transport, informal property markets — extracting payment from residents as protection.They control more of Rio's territory than the drug factions do. They appear on no terrorist list, in part because they are made of the state. Any account of "armed groups controlling Brazilian territory" that leaves them out is describing a smaller problem than the real one, and any imported framework that cannot see them will misidentify its own target.
Base: Rio de Janeiro, especially the West Zone · Not designated by the United States or by Brazil · Source: Mapa dos Grupos Armados do Rio
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva — president from 2003 to 2010 and again since 2023, of the Workers' Party, seeking a fourth term at 80. His government holds that the PCC and CV are profit-driven criminal enterprises rather than political-ideological actors, and that the classification is Brazil's to make.Flávio Bolsonaro — senator, and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, who was convicted in September 2025 of plotting a coup. He runs on a hard-line public-security platform and asked Washington directly for the designation. His brother Eduardo Bolsonaro relocated to the United States in February 2025 to press for sanctions, tariffs and the FTO listing, and was stripped of his congressional mandate in December 2025.
First round 4 October 2026 · Runoff 25 October · Registration closed 15 August
Most commentary treats conceptual transfer as one thing. It is at least four, and the distinction matters because each mode carries a different evidentiary burden and licenses a different political conclusion. Reading the seven entries together, four patterns stand out, and a fifth possibility has to stay on the table throughout: no transfer at all. The glossary includes one such term deliberately, as a control.
A clearly identifiable US legal category is imported, invoked, or formally applied to Brazil.
Evidence required: the statute, the designation, the request. The strongest claim available, and the rarest.
The term did not originate in the United States, but acquired decisive legal, bureaucratic or military force there, and travels onward carrying that force.
The origin defeats the imposition narrative; the institutionalization is what gives the word teeth.
Collectively negotiated, often with explicit sovereignty safeguards, but the capacity to act on it is radically asymmetric.
Formally shared, practically unilateral. The hardest of the four to argue about honestly.
Local actors adopt internationally circulating language to advance domestic projects, with no evidence of direct institutional transfer.
The vocabulary is available; the motive is homegrown. Emulation rather than command.
Collective hemispheric security, built in the Americas and later inherited by Washington.
The term enters circulation from Latin America. Sources divide on the year.
The term enters circulation from Latin America. Sources divide on the year.
Designation becomes an instrument for blocking assets.
"Multidimensional" threats, with the sovereignty reservation Brazil still invokes.
The doctrinal seed that reaches Brazilian war colleges a decade later.
A political epithet becomes a prosecutable offence with extraterritorial reach.
A route distinct from terrorism designation, and the one Brasília prefers.
Parallel convergence via the Palermo Convention, with no sovereignty dispute.
It requires motive, deliberately keeping terrorism and organized crime apart.
The academic channel through which counterinsurgency doctrine reaches Rio.
The first direct US financial measure against a Brazilian faction, years before FTO.
Lula militarizes selectively — domestic instruments, domestic politics.
Cartels described as possessing characteristics of "insurgency and asymmetric warfare."
Ten months pressing for sanctions, tariffs and the designation.
Proposed legal transfer. Still not enacted as of August 2026.
The coercion repertoire opens on the trade front.
Lifted in December 2025, along with most of the tariffs.
Lethal strikes justified under a self-declared armed conflict with designated groups.
The conviction that reshapes the 2026 field.
The refusal that made a unilateral designation the only available route.
Public security becomes the central axis of the campaign.
Brazil chooses severity without adopting the terrorism category.
The same legal architecture, applied to a head of state.
Confirmed publicly on 25 March. The paperwork in Washington was already complete.
Brazil's own severe answer: territorial coercion, regardless of motivation.
The datable moment of continental enemy-making.
The same flows targeted without the terrorism framework. The off-ramp, in practice.
US domestic dissent names the electoral risk three weeks in advance.
Hours after Flávio Bolsonaro is received at the White House.
Material-support liability begins to run.
Classification moves from organizations to named companies and people.
Candidate registration closes on 15 August.
An agrément dispute — the repertoire's newest and least legible instrument.
The vocabulary goes to the ballot.
“We are concerned that the designation of criminal organizations as FTOs would be used to inappropriately influence elections toward an outcome.”
Letter to Secretary of State Marco Rubio · 6 May 2026 — three weeks before the designation. US domestic dissent naming the electoral risk in advance.
“Organized crime must be fought with maximum energy and determination. Equating organized crime with terrorism, however, does not help.”
Special Advisor to the Presidency · 28 May 2026 — the sovereignty position, stated on the day, without naming the United States.
“An opportunity — it would open the path for cooperation, integrate intelligence, bring financial resources, and allow us to fight more effectively.”
Governor of São Paulo · 11 March 2026 — the case for the designation, made by the right's most plausible alternative candidate.
“Each state has the sovereign right to identify its own national security priorities.”
Mexico City · 28 October 2003 — the hemispheric framework, quoted against its current use.
The intuition most readers bring to this material is that the vocabulary of the war on drugs was made in Washington and shipped south. Before reading the entries, or after, it is worth testing that intuition against the record. For each term, decide where it was actually coined — not where it acquired its present force, which is a separate question, and one the entries address at length.
United States. Created by the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996. This is the one term in the glossary with no ambiguity of origin — and the one whose application to Brazil is documented end to end.
Peru, early 1980s. Attributed to President Fernando Belaúnde Terry. The United States did not coin it; it made it prosecutable, through 21 U.S.C. § 960a in 2006. Origin and force are different questions.
Neither, strictly. European economics first, then Colombian trafficking via journalism and enforcement in the 1980s. US agencies made it an operational and then a sanctions category. Count "elsewhere in the Americas" as correct.
Multilateral. Pan-Americanism, the 1947 Rio Treaty, and the OAS declarations of 2002 and 2003, negotiated collectively and containing explicit sovereignty safeguards. Formally shared; unequally exercised.
Multilateral. The UN Naples conference of 1994 and the Palermo Convention of 2000. Brazil's own Lei 12.850/2013 came from the same source, which is why this term produced no sovereignty fight.
United States. Sullivan and Bunker, and the Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute. A genuine doctrinal export — which reached Brazil through war colleges and journals rather than through diplomacy.
Brazil. Article 142 of the 1988 Constitution. The control case: Brazil built its own instrument for militarizing public security, and has used it under governments of every colour.
2 of 7. Worth reading the entries in order. The point is not that the intuition is foolish, but that it is imprecise in ways that carry political consequences.
Read together, the seven entries do not support a single narrative of importation. The FTO designation and the sanctions machinery attached to it are identifiable US instruments with direct effects; narcoterrorism and cartel have origins outside the United States but acquired exceptional force through US law; hemispheric security is multilateral in form and unequal in institutional practice; criminal insurgency is a doctrinal export that met a Brazilian language of parallel power already in place; and the GLO is Brazilian outright.
What the terms share is a function. Each shifts a question from one institutional venue to another — from policing to national security, from courts to sanctions lists, from municipal governance to foreign policy, from Brasília to Washington — and every such shift changes who is authorized to act, against whom, under what oversight, and to what standard of proof. Classification determines which agencies take charge, which investigative powers become normal, which financial relationships become risky, and whether a territory is imagined as a community owed public services or as enemy ground requiring reconquest. This is what it means to say that a designation is not just a list.
The strongest counter-evidence to the capture thesis is Brazilian, and it is recent. On 24 March 2026 Brazil enacted Lei 15.358, creating the offence of domínio social estruturado — structured social domination — which criminalizes ultraviolent organizations, militias and paramilitary groups that impose control over territories, populations, public agents, economic activity and infrastructure, explicitly regardless of the organization's motivation. It is a severe domestic answer to precisely the conduct the terrorism debate is about, built without the terrorism label, and arrived at only after Congress twice rejected terrorism-equivalence amendments. The same logic governs the DESARMA partnership signed in April 2026 between Brazil's Federal Revenue Service and US Customs and Border Protection, which targets the same flows of weapons and drugs without invoking counterterrorism law. Brazil did not reproduce the FTO model; it built an alternative, and then offered Washington a way to use it.
So whoever wins in October inherits two instruments rather than one: an imported category that carries US financial and diplomatic power but no Brazilian legal effect, and a domestic category with real Brazilian legal effect and no foreign leverage. Choosing between them is the actual policy question, and it is the question the fight over vocabulary is currently obscuring. The vocabulary we accept now will determine the policies that are thinkable later. That is why the words matter, that is why the election matters, and that is why they cannot be analyzed separately.
Flávio Bolsonaro travelled to Washington and has said publicly that he asked for the classification, and the lobbying by his brother Eduardo over the preceding year is a matter of record. But the designation policy had been running since January 2025, twelve Latin American groups were added to the list between February and December of that year, and Brazil had already refused a State Department request. The timing and the advocacy are documented; the causal weight is not, and it should not be asserted as though it were.
That FTO status opens Brazil to the extraterritorial use of US force is an inference. It is a well-grounded one — it follows from SOUTHCOM doctrine, from Operation Southern Spear, and from explicit warnings by the Brazilian Army and the foreign ministry — but it is not stated in the designation, and under US law a designation is not itself an authorization for military action. What it is, in practice, is a permission slip.
Whether Brazilian banks and firms have actually de-risked since June has not been reported out. Compliance alerts from law firms are not evidence of compliance behaviour by banks, and the Ministry of Finance's impact assessment, which reportedly warns of billion-dollar exposure, is not public.
The visa revocation of 4 August is the newest data point and the least legible. It concerns an agrément dispute rather than security policy. Whether it marks an escalation of the coercion repertoire into the final two months of the campaign, or a bureaucratic quarrel that resolves quietly, will only be clear in retrospect — which is, in the end, the condition under which most of this vocabulary arrived.